Vietnam’s 2025-2026 Economic Outlook

On the final Monday of 2025, we take a moment to reflect on the Key Highlights of Vietnam’s Economy over the past year and the Outlook 2026, through exclusive insights shared by Peter Ryder, Executive Chairman of Indochina Capital, on Vietnam Today (VTV).

According to Mr. Ryder, growth in 2025 was driven by four key pillars:

▪️ First, GDP is estimated to exceed the 8% target, placing Vietnam among the world’s fastest-growing economies, supported by improved industrial productivity, a recovery in exports, and a rebound in domestic consumption.

▪️ Second, despite global uncertainties, FDI inflows remained highly resilient, reaching a five-year high.

▪️ Third, flexible monetary policy helped ease financial pressures and stabilize interest rates.

▪️ Notably, FTSE Russell’s upgrade of Vietnam from a frontier market to an emerging market opens opportunities to attract additional long-term capital and strengthens investor confidence both domestically and internationally.

Amid global headwinds – from geopolitics and energy volatility to AI and international trade – Vietnam has demonstrated an increasingly strong capacity to adapt.

At the same time, four breakthrough resolutions, known as the Politburo’s “Four Pillars”, have played a strategic guiding role, laying the foundation for a new development cycle that is more sustainable and higher in quality. This forms an important premise for Vietnam to move closer to MSCI reclassification, toward a more transparent, stable, and attractive capital market in the coming period.

So what are the expectations for the next phase in 2026, from long-term investors who have contributed significantly to Vietnam’s socio-economic development, such as ICC?

Let’s explore our full discussion here at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCl8joLMQ1E